A Data Driven PV Power Forecasting Model

Solar Photovoltaics (PV) is one of the most rapidly growing renewable energy source around the world. For sunny tropical locations such as Puerto Rico, and after the electric energy debacle following Hurricane Maria, forecasting solar power is necessary for the efficient application of the solar resource. The research team is attempting to demonstrate that a reasonably high degree of accuracy is possible by following a purely statistical approach to power forecasting where the starting point is PV and meteorological data collected from an existing experimental test bench in Puerto Rico and developing a neural network-based model. The collected data will be used to train/ teach the model in an autoregressive architecture which finally may provide an estimated future power data at a given time, based on past inputs available at the time when the model is run.